We’ve hit the heralded 60% success rate for your NHL gambling bets. So now we hope to make it three in a row with the Calgary Flames who are looking for their fourth.
We did it. High fives all around. We’re at the 60% success mark with our NHL Gambling picks. And you were there when it happened. Put it on the calendar. Pat yourself on the back.
Now it’s on to the next game and hopefully bettering the 60% or at the very least, maintaining it. And our first game is taking a road dog against a team that’s 14-4-2 at home. Why?
Bet Of The Night
[+115] Record: 21-16-4, Road Record: 9-5-4, Form (Last 5):
|CGY 2-3 SJS||CGY 1-2 ANA||CGY 4-3 CHI||CGY 4-2 LAK||CGY 3-2 ANA|
[-130] Record : 22-17-3, Home Record : 14-4-2, Form (Last 5) :
|MIN 4-2 NAS||MIN 0-3 NAS||MIN 5-1 FLA||MIN 6-2 BUF||MIN 2-7 COL|
Why did we take a team that’s seemingly poor on the road versus a team that’s dominant at home? Corsi. Puck possession. Analytics.
The Calgary Flames enjoy a top-four 5on5 Corsi-for in the NHL at the moment with 52.88%. While the Minnesota Wild are, get this, a league-worst at 46.4% 5on5 Corsi for. (All Corsi stats courtesy of Corsica.Hockey).
The thing with Corsi is that when a team controls the puck, they tend to create opportunities. Opportunities that turn into goals. Sometimes that doesn’t always work out. Case and point the Carolina Hurricanes just finally starting to win some games, and the Calgary Flames who aren’t in a playoff spot.
But, sooner or later Corsi heavy teams start to win. And that’s what’s going on with the Flames right now. Three wins in a row sees them picking up steam right before heading on the road. (All three wins were at home).
Before you discredit those three home wins, consider that Calgary was 9-11-0 at home before that streak. Winning at home wasn’t easy before just now.
Can they win on the road? Yes. And they don’t even need to face Devan Dubnyk. The Wild have opted for Alex Stalock in a game that could push either team into a playoff position.
Can the Flames win on the road versus a home team that’s 14-4-2? Absolutely.
Stats To Date (3/5) – 60%
We did it. We hit 60%. We’re now legit. That’s how it works right? I can expect a certificate in the mail for us to put up on the wall? It’s a small sample size with only five days worth of data. So now it’s maintaining that ratio, or bettering it.
So as you follow along with us remember, we’re trying to get them all right. But don’t get off the bus if we get one wrong. We get them right more than we get them wrong.